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Nvidia’s Shakeup Is a Reminder to Check Your 401(k) for Concentration Risk

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Many retirement savers have never bought a share of Nvidia directly, yet their 401(k) still rises and falls with it. That point came into focus Thursday, when Nvidia shares dropped about 7% in premarket trading after the Wall Street Journal reported its board was weighing whether to replace CEO Jensen Huang, according to Reuters.

Why one stock can matter so much

Most S&P 500 index funds and target-date funds weight companies by their market value. After years of huge gains, a handful of technology giants, including Nvidia, Apple and Microsoft, now make up a large share of the index. That means a big move in one of them can noticeably shift the value of a fund that holds hundreds of stocks.

The same thing can happen in reverse. On Wednesday, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 1.60% while the Dow rose a more modest 0.49%, according to the AP, largely because AI-related stocks led the rally.

How to check your own exposure

  • Look up your funds’ top holdings. Fund fact sheets on your plan’s website list the top 10 positions and what share of the fund they represent.
  • Add up overlap. If you own an S&P 500 fund, a large-cap growth fund and a technology fund, you may hold the same few companies three times.
  • Count company stock. If your employer’s stock is in your plan, consider it alongside everything else you own.
  • Review your mix by age. People closer to retirement generally have less time to recover from a sharp drop, which is why target-date funds shift toward bonds over time.

Bonds look different now

Higher interest rates have changed the math for the safer part of a portfolio. The 10-year Treasury yield has hovered near 5% this week, according to Kitco and Yahoo Finance data, as markets price a likely Federal Reserve rate hike in December. For retirees and near-retirees, that means bond funds, Treasurys and cash accounts can now provide meaningfully more income than they did a few years ago, though bond prices fall when yields rise.

A good time for a year-end review

Late in the year is a natural moment to rebalance. The IRS typically announces the next year’s 401(k) and IRA contribution limits in the fall, so it is also worth checking whether you plan to raise your contributions for 2027 once the official figures are out.

The lesson from Nvidia is not that any one company is good or bad to own. It is that a diversified plan should not depend too heavily on the fortunes of a single stock or a single CEO.

This article is for educational purposes only and is not personalized financial advice.

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